Thursday Night Football game of Week 10 of the 2024 NFL schedule is a clash between the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals at M&T Bank Stadium. Since we’ll be covering all the primetime matches this season, this one is as well. As such, read on for betting odds, picks and player props for this thrilling scrap. Finally, don’t forget to navigate to the Week 10 NFL Betting Hub to check out all of our NFL betting articles.
How To Follow: Bengals vs. Ravens
- When: November 7th at 8:15 pm Eastern Time
- Where: Located at Baltimore, Maryland, the M&T Bank Stadium.
- Channel: Prime Video
Bengals vs. Ravens Odds
Opening lines from DraftKings Sportsbook through Tuesday November 5th. It’s always important to shop around though and find out what the norm is for this type of work to make sure that you’re not overcharged!
Moneyline: Ravens -265, Bengals +215
Spread: Ravens -6 (-108), Bengals +6 (-112).
Total: NFL; 53 Over (-108), 53 Under (-112)
Bengals vs. Ravens Analysis
Here is a great Thursday Night contest. The Bengals most likely aren’t in a position to fight for the division this year, as they created too large of a deficit for it. Though Cincinnati could really use the win to keep their playoff dreams alive, Baltimore is in an interesting fight with Pittsburgh for the division crown. As such, it will be a match that has playoff feel to it — just as was the case with the 41-38 victory the Ravens had in Paycor Stadium a couple of weeks ago.
Of course, there is no need to debate whom to expect to come to this game as the most aggressor. I mean I know that Baltimore should be laying points. Nevertheless, as soon as I looked at the spread , the first feeling that I got was that they might just be a tad too many. While the Ravens are second in the amount of EPA per play with 0.211, the Bengals rank only the seventh with 0.085. However, these teams are both right with each other when it comes to EPA per play allowed with Baltimore sitting 25th with 0.057 and Cincinnati following with 0.059. That said; this feels like a game where both teams will take turns in repeatedly attacking the other team’s end zone, and the winner will most likely be the team that was holding the ball last. If so, I’ll take the points — although at +7 I might actually take the game outright — and of course, with the moneyline as well.
But, before I outline my best bet in this game, I would like to present my opinions on the three odds available. The two teams come into this game tied for two spots in the bottom third of the league in EPA allowed per play on defense, but both in the top 10 in EPA per play on offense so I just don’t see either defense making the sort of stop that would be needed to win this game.
The Over is 6-3 in the nine games the Bengals have played in the current season; the Over is also 8-1 in nine games played by the Ravens. These two also flew over the number the time they faced off in Cincinnati at the beginning of the year. The Over is also 4-1 in the five games that Cincinnati has played as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last two seasons, and it’s 3-0 when the team is coming off a same-season loss to an opponent. That says that this Bengals offense can attack again on second looks at a defending unit. It is not a shocker given how well Joe Burrow is playing, it may not be your perception though given its context. The Over is also 4-1 in the five games that the Ravens have faced teams which allow 130.0 or more rushing yards per game in the last two years. Therefore, they should be able to make a lot with Derrick Henry confronting an easy Cincinnati defensive line.
The only thing that I’m a bit concerned is the weather forecast in that I get to know that it’s most likely going to rain. Watch that as the game gets closer. Which means you don’t bet the total if it is raining because you don’t want that to go bad.
There was recognised: Bengals vs. Ravens Player Props
Joe Burrow Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns 🔧 Probability : -📏 145
I need this game to go Over the total, though I need the Bengals to be a big part of making that happen. And so with that in mind it would shock me if Burrow doesn’t have a big game with his arm. After all Burrow just passed for five touchdowns in Cincinnati’s victory over the Raiders last week. He’s really cooking, and the man has now passed for at least two touchdowns in six of his last eight matches. And this is the Baltimore defense he had five touchdowns against them alone. Indeed, this one will be played as an away match which implies a difficult terrain. But Burrow is not particularly someone that could be easily shaken. On that note, I’m excluding the juice and believing he will have two passing TDs minimum here. I made a similar calculation earlier that the Ravens are 25th in EPA per play allowed this season, but 29th in Dropback EPA per play allowed. The secondary is by far the biggest let down of this Baltimore defence.
Bengals vs. Ravens Pick
As we always say, one should look around and get this total at 52.5. So until that total reaches 53, I’d encourage a selection of Over here. Well of course you know it can be a little difficult for offenses to warm up on Thursday nights, but these two are very skillful. And I don’t believe either defense as far as I can see them being thrown, which is not necessarily anywhere far at all. In this case, I expect a high scoring match and I also think that this is the match you would want to go crazy on player prop bets.
